Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.183226 0.212118 0.244065 0.282009 0.325854 0.374937 0.434075
2025-09-07 0.137873 0.176614 0.223908 0.285897 0.365056 0.462835 0.592944
2025-09-14 0.109901 0.151007 0.204747 0.280166 0.383378 0.519861 0.714416
2025-09-21 0.092083 0.133975 0.191892 0.277836 0.402289 0.576270 0.838624
2025-09-28 0.080316 0.122793 0.184433 0.280429 0.426416 0.640573 0.979638
2025-10-05 0.074005 0.118277 0.185365 0.294466 0.467814 0.733310 1.172406
2025-10-12 0.067785 0.112815 0.183804 0.303901 0.502513 0.818911 1.363475
2025-10-19 0.062147 0.107385 0.181362 0.311180 0.533972 0.902065 1.559436
2025-10-26 0.056547 0.101199 0.176760 0.313979 0.557781 0.974555 1.745040
2025-11-02 0.050705 0.093796 0.169109 0.310367 0.569687 1.027467 1.901801
2025-11-09 0.044708 0.085340 0.158562 0.300174 0.568333 1.056371 2.017781
2025-11-16 0.041827 0.082268 0.157306 0.306734 0.598193 1.144290 2.252298
2025-11-23 0.038425 0.077874 0.153237 0.307767 0.618228 1.217086 2.468545
2025-11-30 0.035746 0.074585 0.150922 0.311961 0.644947 1.305678 2.726668
2025-12-07 0.032256 0.069214 0.143863 0.305708 0.649750 1.351229 2.902106
2025-12-14 0.029541 0.065124 0.138911 0.303165 0.661774 1.412381 3.116693
2025-12-21 0.027609 0.062474 0.136637 0.305996 0.685417 1.499982 3.397816
2025-12-28 0.026907 0.062447 0.139933 0.321313 0.737963 1.654710 3.844673
2026-01-04 0.025830 0.061438 0.140953 0.331608 0.780333 1.791486 4.266303
2026-01-11 0.024650 0.060051 0.140962 0.339551 0.818117 1.921818 4.687656
2026-01-18 0.023224 0.057909 0.138999 0.342604 0.844677 2.029030 5.065985
2026-01-25 0.021473 0.054771 0.134355 0.338663 0.853889 2.096318 5.354395
2026-02-01 0.019457 0.050738 0.127132 0.327540 0.844113 2.116838 5.528179